Saturday, 25 October 2008
Sunday, 19 October 2008
Saturday, 18 October 2008
MORE DOOM
ENERGY PEAK
Here's a straightforward primer.
http://www.energybulletin.net/primer
Peak enters the mainstream
2 years ago, French government predicting peak by 2012 (many say it is already beginning to peak):
BBC NEWS | Business | 'Peak oil' enters mainstream debate
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/4077802.stm
The Long Emergency - by James Howard Kunstler
http://www.energybulletin.net/node/4856
And it ain't just the newspapers / magazines and the internet:
http://www.grinningplanet.com/environmental-books/peak-oil-books.htm
http://www.amazon.com/PEAK-OIL-BOOKS/lm/26CCG716IZ4VC
If a picture tells a thousand words
Outside the middle-east, oil production is already in decline:
Oil / population comparisons:
This next one's a little tricky, but shows the energy 'per capita' (person) mapped over time. Note the peak in the US. happened in 1970... :
Slightly clearer version of the above for the global picture:
I'm sure you saw this one back in the 70's! .. from ecological science, the population 'overshoot':
Well, you gotta laugh - Human energy production / population over a longer stretch of time:
For the source of the above graph, see the Olduvai Theory, as proposed by Richard C. Duncan:
From "The Social Contract" [2005-2006 Winter] - provides information on the background to the precursors of theory from 19th / 20th Century scientists:
http://www.hubbertpeak.com/duncan/OlduvaiTheorySocialContract.pdf
A more recent take on it with the latest data confirming the trend:
www.warsocialism.com/duncan_tscq_07.pdf
Overview of the Olduvai theory, with steps humanity must take to avoid descent - What are the odds people and politicians will suss this one out in time? Don't rate them very highly myself. Iraq war, anyone?
http://europe.theoildrum.com/node/3565
Nice! Someone prove this stuff wrong for me, quick!
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Friday, 10 October 2008
Woah
But what about other sources of renewable energy?
In one year the entire world produces about 1 cubic mile of oil (2006 data). It would
take 50 years of energy production by each alternative energy source below to
accumulate the equivalent energy in 1 cubic mile of oil that the world uses now in one year.
Source: http://www.theoildrum.com/node/3084 and http://www.theoildrum.com/node/2320
Energy equivalents of 1 cubic mile of oil (CMO).
To produce the equivalent amount of of the energy provided by oil in one year would take:
200 Three Gorges Dams
2,600 Nuclear Power Plants
5,200 Coal Fired Plants (not good for global warming...)
1,642,500 Wind Turbines
4,562,500,000 Solar Panel
Also see: can renewable energy make a dent in fossil fuels?
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Sunday, 5 October 2008
PEAK OIL
Or maybe not - after all, someone might invent a miracle power source tomorrow. Go for a drive, go shopping, take a nap, enjoy life!
http://www.lifeaftertheoilcrash.net/